India tour of New Zealand, 2026 · match 9 of 12
New Zealand vs India 4th ODI prediction
19:30
India time
Thu, 19 Nov 2026
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui
Fair odds for the pick 2.00
In 30 seconds
- New Zealand at 50%: a coin flip (fair odds 2.00).
- Pitch suits batters; New Zealand projected to post the bigger total.
- New Zealand have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- New Zealand
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- flat, high-scoring
- Favours
- Batters
Who wins the NZ vs IND 4th ODI?
Coin flip, with a nudge to New Zealand. The Wazir Win model splits the NZ vs IND 4th ODI 50-50, so neither side is a confident pick. On a flat, high-scoring surface at Bay Oval we project New Zealand near 351 and India near 347. Start: Thu, 19 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
Batters will trust the bounce from ball one. Bowlers need clear plans, because anything over-pitched or short and wide disappears. Both sides will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.
Series pressure
Edge: New Zealand
A win here gives New Zealand control with 3 matches left, and losing would hand India momentum.
Batting parity
Edge: Even
Only 4 runs split the projected totals, so this is close to a dead heat with the bat. One big individual innings is the likeliest tiebreaker.
How many will New Zealand and India score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a flat, high-scoring surface at Bay Oval.
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
The Wazir Win bet slip for NZ vs IND
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 50%
Banker
risk
Match result
New Zealand to win
The model's headline call. Only worth it at odds of 2.00 or longer.
- 61%
Smart value
risk
New Zealand first-innings total
Over 334.5
A 334.5 line leaves a buffer of roughly 16 runs against our 351 projection.
- 23%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Finn Allen (New Zealand)
Steady hand in a chase. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing New Zealand vs India?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
Finn Allen83
Steady hand in a chase
Tim Southee91
Trusted at the end of the innings
India
Yashasvi Jaiswal91
Steady hand in a chase
Hardik Pandya91
Balances the XI
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Finn Allen is left out
We would trim New Zealand by around five points, turning this into a coin flip.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.
The story of New Zealand vs India
Match 9 of 12 is where India tour of New Zealand, 2026 starts to take shape. New Zealand come in at 50% because their batting and bowling both match these flat, high-scoring conditions a little better. New Zealand play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. For India to win, they need early wickets or one innings of real substance; anything less and the favourites should control it.
On the toss: Neither batting nor bowling first offers a real edge when the pitch stays this good.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 4th ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.
Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui hosts the 4th ODI on Thu, 19 Nov 2026: fixture 9 of 12 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 3rd ODI, was played 3 days before this one at Seddon Park in Hamilton, which means a travel day to Mount Maunganui in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
Up next: the 5th ODI, 4 days after this match, at the same ground.
Also at Bay Oval on the Wazir Win calendar: 5th ODI: New Zealand vs India (23 Nov), 1st Test: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka (12 Feb) (2 fixtures in all).
- 16 Nov3rd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSeddon Park
- 19 Nov4th ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaBay Oval
- 23 Nov5th ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaBay Oval
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FAQ · 9
NZ vs IND 4th ODI: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win New Zealand vs India?
Wazir Win predicts New Zealand, with a 50% win chance against 50% for India. We class that as a coin flip. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, high-scoring pitch at Bay Oval should play.
What are fair odds for New Zealand in the NZ vs IND 4th ODI?
Our 50% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 2.00 for New Zealand and 2.00 for India. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the NZ vs IND 4th ODI start in IST?
It is scheduled for Thu, 19 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Bay Oval?
We read it as flat, high-scoring, which should favour the batters. Batters will trust the bounce from ball one. Bowlers need clear plans, because anything over-pitched or short and wide disappears.
What should the captain do at the toss in NZ vs IND?
Neither batting nor bowling first offers a real edge when the pitch stays this good. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for India to win?
India need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 50%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if New Zealand change their best XI.
New Zealand vs India mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein New Zealand ka palda bhaari hai: 50% chance, India ka 50%. Match Thu, 19 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Mount Maunganui ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch flat, high-scoring hai, yaani ballebazon ke liye pitch achhi hai, bada score sambhav hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
What totals does Wazir Win project for New Zealand vs India?
New Zealand 326-376 and India 322-372 in the first-innings total, with the biggest scoring burst expected in middle overs (11-40).
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.