India tour of New Zealand, 2026 · match 8 of 12
New Zealand vs India 3rd ODI prediction
19:30
India time
Mon, 16 Nov 2026
Seddon Park, Hamilton
Fair odds for the pick 1.89
In 30 seconds
- India at 53%: a slight lean (fair odds 1.89).
- Balanced pitch; India projected to post the bigger total.
- New Zealand have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- India
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Favours
- Balanced
Who wins the NZ vs IND 3rd ODI?
Back India to win the NZ vs IND 3rd ODI. Wazir Win rates their chance at 53% (slight lean), with New Zealand on 47%. Projected totals: New Zealand 328, India 337. Conditions at Seddon Park should favour neither side. First ball: Mon, 16 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
A middle-of-the-road pitch with a little for everyone, so phase totals should land near the usual numbers for the format. Neither attack should be specially advantaged.
Series pressure
Edge: India
A win here gives India control with 4 matches left, and losing would hand New Zealand momentum.
Batting parity
Edge: Even
The batting units grade out almost identically (9 runs apart). Look to the bowlers and the toss for the separation.
How many will New Zealand and India score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a balanced, dry surface at Seddon Park.
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
The Wazir Win bet slip for NZ vs IND
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 53%
Banker
risk
Match result
India to win
Our most likely outcome. If the bookmaker's price is shorter than 1.89, the value has gone.
- 62%
Smart value
risk
New Zealand first-innings total
Over 311.5
Our projection sits near 328, comfortably clear of 311.5, so a slow start can still land it.
- 18%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Jasprit Bumrah (India)
Trusted at the end of the innings. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing New Zealand vs India?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
Rachin Ravindra80
Balances the XI
Tim Southee95
Trusted at the end of the innings
India
Jasprit Bumrah85
Trusted at the end of the innings
Rohit Sharma84
Fast starter at the top
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Jasprit Bumrah is left out
We would trim India by around five points, turning this into a coin flip.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.
The story of New Zealand vs India
With 4 games of India tour of New Zealand, 2026 still to follow, this match 8 can tilt the series. Our read is that India have the stronger unit for a balanced, dry ODI pitch, and the model reflects that at 53%. New Zealand play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. New Zealand's route to an upset runs through the first hour: get on top early and the 47% chance we give them starts to look generous.
On the toss: Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 3rd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.
Seddon Park in Hamilton hosts the 3rd ODI on Mon, 16 Nov 2026: fixture 8 of 12 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 2nd ODI, was played 4 days before this one at Sky Stadium in Wellington, which means a travel day to Hamilton in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
Up next: the 4th ODI, 3 days after this match at Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui.
Also at Seddon Park on the Wazir Win calendar: 5th T20I: New Zealand vs India (05 Nov), 2nd Test: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka (16 Feb) (2 fixtures in all).
- 12 Nov2nd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSky Stadium
- 16 Nov3rd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSeddon Park
- 19 Nov4th ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaBay Oval
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FAQ · 9
NZ vs IND 3rd ODI: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win New Zealand vs India?
Wazir Win predicts India, with a 53% win chance against 47% for New Zealand. We class that as a slight lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at Seddon Park should play.
What are fair odds for India in the NZ vs IND 3rd ODI?
Our 53% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.89 for India and 2.13 for New Zealand. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the NZ vs IND 3rd ODI start in IST?
It is scheduled for Mon, 16 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST at Seddon Park, Hamilton. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Seddon Park?
We read it as balanced, dry, which should favour neither side. A middle-of-the-road pitch with a little for everyone, so phase totals should land near the usual numbers for the format.
What should the captain do at the toss in NZ vs IND?
Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for New Zealand to win?
New Zealand need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 47%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.
New Zealand vs India mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein India ka palda bhaari hai: 53% chance, New Zealand ka 47%. Match Mon, 16 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Hamilton ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch balanced, dry hai, yaani bat aur ball mein barabar ki takkar hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
What happens to bets if rain affects NZ vs IND?
Reduced overs bring in DLS targets, and too few overs means a no-result. Each bookmaker's rules decide which markets stand. Check the Hamilton forecast before you play.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.