England tour of Australia, 2026 · match 1 of 8
Australia vs England 1st ODI prediction
19:30
India time
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
Perth Stadium, Perth
Fair odds for the pick 1.64
In 30 seconds
- Australia at 61%: a clear lean (fair odds 1.64).
- Pitch suits batters; Australia projected to post the bigger total.
- Australia have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- Australia
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- flat, high-scoring
- Favours
- Batters
Who wins the AUS vs ENG 1st ODI?
Clear lean: Australia. Our model makes them 61% favourites for the 1st ODI against England at Perth Stadium, a fair price of 1.64. We project Australia for 352 and England for 336 on a pitch that favours the batters. Start: Thu, 12 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
Batters will trust the bounce from ball one. Bowlers need clear plans, because anything over-pitched or short and wide disappears. Both sides will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.
Run-scoring edge
Edge: Australia
Australia project about 16 runs higher in the first-innings total. Over a ODI, a gap like that turns tight games into comfortable ones.
Toss call
Edge: Even
Neither batting nor bowling first offers a real edge when the pitch stays this good.
How many will Australia and England score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a flat, high-scoring surface at Perth Stadium.
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
The Wazir Win bet slip for AUS vs ENG
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 61%
Banker
risk
Match result
Australia to win
The model's headline call. Only worth it at odds of 1.64 or longer.
- 59%
Smart value
risk
Australia first-innings total
Over 337.5
A 337.5 line leaves a buffer of roughly 14 runs against our 352 projection.
- 19%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Marcus Stoinis (Australia)
Balances the XI. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing Australia vs England?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
Marcus Stoinis94
Balances the XI
David Warner87
Fast starter at the top
England
Harry Brook94
Steady hand in a chase
Ben Stokes95
Balances the XI
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Marcus Stoinis is left out
We would trim Australia by around five points, turning this into a clear lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.
The story of Australia vs England
England tour of Australia, 2026 opens here, so the first real evidence of form on this tour arrives with this match. Our read is that Australia have the stronger unit for a flat, high-scoring ODI pitch, and the model reflects that at 61%. Australia play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. England's route to an upset runs through the first hour: get on top early and the 39% chance we give them starts to look generous.
On the toss: Neither batting nor bowling first offers a real edge when the pitch stays this good.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 1st ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in England tour of Australia, 2026.
Perth Stadium in Perth hosts the 1st ODI on Thu, 12 Nov 2026: fixture 1 of 8 in the series.
As the series opener, there is no head-to-head evidence from this tour yet, so the market leans on reputation.
Up next: the 2nd ODI, 3 days after this match at Adelaide Oval in Adelaide.
Also at Perth Stadium on the Wazir Win calendar: 1st Test: Australia vs New Zealand (09 Dec) (1 fixture in all).
- 12 Nov1st ODI: Australia vs EnglandPerth Stadium
- 15 Nov2nd ODI: Australia vs EnglandAdelaide Oval
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FAQ · 9
AUS vs ENG 1st ODI: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Australia vs England?
Wazir Win predicts Australia, with a 61% win chance against 39% for England. We class that as a clear lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, high-scoring pitch at Perth Stadium should play.
What are fair odds for Australia in the AUS vs ENG 1st ODI?
Our 61% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.64 for Australia and 2.56 for England. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the AUS vs ENG 1st ODI start in IST?
It is scheduled for Thu, 12 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST at Perth Stadium, Perth. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Perth Stadium?
We read it as flat, high-scoring, which should favour the batters. Batters will trust the bounce from ball one. Bowlers need clear plans, because anything over-pitched or short and wide disappears.
What should the captain do at the toss in AUS vs ENG?
Neither batting nor bowling first offers a real edge when the pitch stays this good. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for England to win?
England need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 39%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if Australia change their best XI.
Australia vs England mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein Australia ka palda bhaari hai: 61% chance, England ka 39%. Match Thu, 12 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Perth ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch flat, high-scoring hai, yaani ballebazon ke liye pitch achhi hai, bada score sambhav hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
What totals does Wazir Win project for Australia vs England?
Australia 329-375 and England 312-360 in the first-innings total, with the biggest scoring burst expected in middle overs (11-40).
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.