England tour of Australia, 2026 · match 3 of 8
Australia vs England 3rd ODI prediction
19:30
India time
Wed, 18 Nov 2026
Bellerive Oval, Hobart
Fair odds for the pick 1.59
In 30 seconds
- Australia at 63%: a strong lean (fair odds 1.59).
- Pitch suits batters; Australia projected to post the bigger total.
- Australia have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- Australia
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- flat, high-scoring
- Favours
- Batters
Who wins the AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI?
Back Australia to win the AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI. Wazir Win rates their chance at 63% (strong lean), with England on 37%. Projected totals: Australia 353, England 340. Conditions at Bellerive Oval should favour the batters. First ball: Wed, 18 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
A run-fest pitch: true bounce, good carry and little sideways movement. Death bowling and cutters will decide how big the totals get. Both sides will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.
Series pressure
Edge: Australia
A win here gives Australia control with 5 matches left, and losing would hand England momentum.
Toss call
Edge: Even
The toss is close to irrelevant. Both sides will back themselves to score heavily either way.
How many will Australia and England score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a flat, high-scoring surface at Bellerive Oval.
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
The Wazir Win bet slip for AUS vs ENG
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 63%
Banker
risk
Match result
Australia to win
Our most likely outcome. If the bookmaker's price is shorter than 1.59, the value has gone.
- 56%
Smart value
risk
Australia first-innings total
Over 338.5
Our projection sits near 353, comfortably clear of 338.5, so a slow start can still land it.
- 18%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Josh Hazlewood (Australia)
Trusted at the end of the innings. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing Australia vs England?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
Josh Hazlewood88
Trusted at the end of the innings
Glenn Maxwell84
Balances the XI
England
Jofra Archer89
Trusted at the end of the innings
Liam Livingstone86
Balances the XI
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Josh Hazlewood is left out
We would trim Australia by around five points, turning this into a clear lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.
The story of Australia vs England
With 5 games of England tour of Australia, 2026 still to follow, this match 3 can tilt the series. Australia come in at 63% because their batting and bowling both match these flat, high-scoring conditions a little better. Australia play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. England's route to an upset runs through the first hour: get on top early and the 37% chance we give them starts to look generous.
On the toss: The toss is close to irrelevant. Both sides will back themselves to score heavily either way.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 3rd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in England tour of Australia, 2026.
Bellerive Oval in Hobart hosts the 3rd ODI on Wed, 18 Nov 2026: fixture 3 of 8 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 2nd ODI, was played 3 days before this one at Adelaide Oval in Adelaide, which means a travel day to Hobart in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
Up next: the 1st T20I, 3 days after this match at Melbourne Cricket Ground in Melbourne.
- 15 Nov2nd ODI: Australia vs EnglandAdelaide Oval
- 18 Nov3rd ODI: Australia vs EnglandBellerive Oval
- 21 Nov1st T20I: Australia vs EnglandMelbourne Cricket Ground
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FAQ · 9
AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Australia vs England?
Wazir Win predicts Australia, with a 63% win chance against 37% for England. We class that as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, high-scoring pitch at Bellerive Oval should play.
What are fair odds for Australia in the AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI?
Our 63% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.59 for Australia and 2.70 for England. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI start in IST?
It is scheduled for Wed, 18 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST at Bellerive Oval, Hobart. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Bellerive Oval?
We read it as flat, high-scoring, which should favour the batters. A run-fest pitch: true bounce, good carry and little sideways movement. Death bowling and cutters will decide how big the totals get.
What should the captain do at the toss in AUS vs ENG?
The toss is close to irrelevant. Both sides will back themselves to score heavily either way. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for England to win?
England need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 37%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if Australia change their best XI.
Australia vs England mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein Australia ka palda bhaari hai: 63% chance, England ka 37%. Match Wed, 18 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Hobart ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch flat, high-scoring hai, yaani ballebazon ke liye pitch achhi hai, bada score sambhav hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Who are the key players in Australia vs England?
Josh Hazlewood (Australia, trusted at the end of the innings) and Jofra Archer (England, trusted at the end of the innings). Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.