India tour of New Zealand, 2026 · match 4 of 12

New Zealand vs India 4th T20I prediction

By Wazir Win Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated
53%Our pick
New Zealand
Slight lean

19:30

India time

Mon, 02 Nov 2026

Eden Park, Auckland

Fair odds for the pick 1.89

47%Win chance
India

In 30 seconds

  1. New Zealand at 53%: a slight lean (fair odds 1.89).
  2. Balanced pitch; India projected to post the bigger total.
  3. New Zealand have home conditions on their side.
Wazir Win pick
New Zealand
Format
T20 International
Pitch
balanced, dry
Favours
Balanced

Who wins the NZ vs IND 4th T20I?

Slight lean: New Zealand. Our model makes them 53% favourites for the 4th T20I against India at Eden Park, a fair price of 1.89. We project New Zealand for 204 and India for 207 on a pitch that favours neither side. Start: Mon, 02 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST.

What will decide it?

The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Surface read

    Edge: Even

    An even contest is on the cards. Expect phase scores close to the format average, with the better-executing side winning out. Neither attack should be specially advantaged.

  2. Toss call

    Edge: Even

    Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface.

  3. Series pressure

    Edge: New Zealand

    A win here gives New Zealand control with 8 matches left, and losing would hand India momentum.

How many will New Zealand and India score?

Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a balanced, dry surface at Eden Park.

Powerplay (0-6)

Middle Overs (7-15)

Death Overs (16-20)

New Zealand IndiaInnings: NZ 188-220 · IND 191-223

The Wazir Win bet slip for NZ vs IND

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    53%

    Match result

    New Zealand to win

    Our most likely outcome. If the bookmaker's price is shorter than 1.89, the value has gone.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    60%

    New Zealand first-innings total

    Over 193.5

    Our projection sits near 204, comfortably clear of 193.5, so a slow start can still land it.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    47%

    Match result

    India to win

    The upset needs a special performance from someone like Hardik Pandya.

Who can swing New Zealand vs India?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.

New Zealand

  • Lockie Ferguson90

    Our pick for overs 17-20

  • Daryl Mitchell91

    Useful with bat and ball

India

  • Hardik Pandya88

    Useful with bat and ball

  • Jasprit Bumrah82

    Opens the bowling

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before the first ball.

  • If Lockie Ferguson is left out

    We would trim New Zealand by around five points, turning this into a coin flip.

  • If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss

    More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.

  • If rain shortens the match

    Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.

The story of New Zealand vs India

With 8 games of India tour of New Zealand, 2026 still to follow, this match 4 can tilt the series. The model leans to New Zealand at 53%, mostly on squad quality and how Eden Park has played in recent seasons. New Zealand play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. India's route to an upset runs through the first hour: get on top early and the 47% chance we give them starts to look generous.

On the toss: Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Calendar check: 4th T20I

Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.

Eden Park in Auckland hosts the 4th T20I on Mon, 02 Nov 2026: fixture 4 of 12 in the series.

The previous fixture, the 3rd T20I, was played 4 days before this one at Sky Stadium in Wellington, which means a travel day to Auckland in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.

Up next: the 5th T20I, 3 days after this match at Seddon Park in Hamilton.

Also at Eden Park on the Wazir Win calendar: 1st ODI: New Zealand vs India (09 Nov) (1 fixture in all).

  1. 29 Oct3rd T20I: New Zealand vs IndiaSky Stadium
  2. 02 Nov4th T20I: New Zealand vs IndiaEden Park
  3. 05 Nov5th T20I: New Zealand vs IndiaSeddon Park
  1. 05 Nov5th T20I: New Zealand vs IndiaIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026Open dossier
  2. 09 Nov1st ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026Open dossier
  3. 12 Nov2nd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026Open dossier
  4. 16 Nov3rd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026Open dossier

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FAQ · 9

NZ vs IND 4th T20I: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win New Zealand vs India?

Wazir Win predicts New Zealand, with a 53% win chance against 47% for India. We class that as a slight lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at Eden Park should play.

What are fair odds for New Zealand in the NZ vs IND 4th T20I?

Our 53% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.89 for New Zealand and 2.13 for India. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.

When does the NZ vs IND 4th T20I start in IST?

It is scheduled for Mon, 02 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST at Eden Park, Auckland. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.

How will the pitch play at Eden Park?

We read it as balanced, dry, which should favour neither side. An even contest is on the cards. Expect phase scores close to the format average, with the better-executing side winning out.

What should the captain do at the toss in NZ vs IND?

Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.

What would it take for India to win?

India need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 47%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if New Zealand change their best XI.

New Zealand vs India mein kiski jeet pakki hai?

Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein New Zealand ka palda bhaari hai: 53% chance, India ka 47%. Match Mon, 02 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Auckland ki pitch kaisi rahegi?

Humari report ke hisaab se pitch balanced, dry hai, yaani bat aur ball mein barabar ki takkar hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

What totals does Wazir Win project for New Zealand vs India?

New Zealand 188-220 and India 191-223 in the first-innings total, with the biggest scoring burst expected in middle overs (7-15).

Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.